"What Ifs" and the War in Ukraine: The Case for Counterfactuals
I'm cross-posting my latest op-ed, entitled "What If": The Uses and Abuses of Counterfactuals about Ukraine," which appeared today on the website of the History News Network website.
As commentators continue to weigh in on the war's origins, they will surely add new counterfactual arguments to the discussion. I will update this essay accordingly.
To mention merely one that I just spotted yesterday, Stephen Kotkin in conversation with The New Yorker's David Remnick, refuted John Mearsheimer's counterfactual claim that no NATO expansion would have made history better by saying it would have made it worse.
As Kotkin argued: